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General Election 2024: Final day odds and electoral forecasts in Somerset…

TOMORROW will see Somerset head to the polls for the 2024 general election.

Voters are being asked to choose their MP for the next parliament, with polls open from 7am until 10pm.

It will be the first general election where anyone casting a vote will be required to show photographic ID before heading to the booth – so be sure to have yours with you.

As we prepare to poll, we thought we’d have a last look at county constituencies in our patch and give the latest polling predictions from forecaster Electoral Calculus, as well as the latest available odds from bet365…

Bridgwater:

Electoral Calculus (EC) probability of winning (by party):
Conservatives: 14%
Labour: 61%
Liberal Democrats: 1%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 23%
Other: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Labour: 4/5
Conservatives: 11/10
Reform UK: 18/1
Liberal Democrats: 25/1
Green Party: 200/1

Frome & East Somerset:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 7%
Liberal Democrats: 88%
Labour: 2%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 3%
Other: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Liberal Democrats: 2/7
Labour: 5/1
Conservatives: 5/1
Reform UK: 80/1
Green Party: 125/1

Glastonbury & Somerton:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 1%
Liberal Democrats: 98%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Liberal Democrats: 1/8
Conservatives: 5/1
Labour: 33/1
Reform UK: 125/1
Green Party: 150/1

Taunton & Wellington:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 4%
Liberal Democrats: 96%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 1%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Liberal Democrats: 1/8
Conservatives: 5/1
Labour: 33/1
Reform UK: 125/1
Green Party: 150/1

Wells & Mendip Hills:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 6%
Liberal Democrats: 94%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Liberal Democrats: 1/3
Conservatives: 9/4
Labour: 14/1
Reform UK: 150/1
Green Party: 250/1

Weston-super-Mare:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 7%
Liberal Democrats: 0%
Labour: 82%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 11%

Bet365 odds:
Labour: 1/6
Conservatives: 4/1
Reform UK: 20/1
Liberal Democrats: 50/1
Green Party: 200/1

Yeovil:

EC probabilities:
Conservatives: 6%
Liberal Democrats: 94%
Labour: 0%
Green Party: 0%
Reform UK: 0%
Others: 0%

Bet365 odds:
Liberal Democrats: 1/7
Conservatives: 9/2
Labour: 25/1
Reform UK: 80/1
Green Party: 150/1

The full list of candidates in each area is:

Bridgwater:
Pele Barnes: Independent
William Frederick Fagg: Reform UK
Ashley Fox: Conservative and Unionist Party
Charles Graham: Green Party
Leigh Redman: Labour Party
Claire Sully: Liberal Democrats
Gregory Peter Gerrard Tanner: Workers Party of Britain

Frome & East Somerset:
Martin Dimery: Green Party
Gavin John Heathcote: Independent
Shaun Hughes: Independent
Robin Moss: Labour Party
Anna Sabine: Liberal Democrats
David Swain: Reform UK
Lucy Clare Trimnell: Conservative and Unionist Party

Glastonbury & Somerton:
Tom Carter: Reform UK
Jon Cousins: Green Party
Sarah Joanne Dyke: Liberal Democrats
Hal Hooberman: Labour Party
Faye Purbrick: Conservative and Unionist Party

Taunton & Wellington:
Gideon Amos: Liberal Democrats
Charles Hansard: Reform UK
Rebecca Pow: Conservative and Unionist Party
Rochelle Russell: Communist Party of Britain
Ryan Trower: Green Party
Brenda Dawn Weston: Labour Party

Wells & Mendip Hills:
Craig Clarke: Independent
Helen Hims: Reform UK
Joe Joseph: Labour & Co-operative Party
Abi McGuire: Independent
Tessa Munt: Liberal Democrats
Meg Powell-Chandler: Conservative and Unionist Party
Peter Alexander Welsh: Green Party

Weston-super-Mare:
Dan Aldridge: Labour Party
Thomas Joseph Harrison Daw: Green Party
Patrick Keating: Liberal Democrats
Richard Andrew Pearse: Reform UK
John Penrose: Conservative and Unionist Party

Yeovil:
Steve Ashton: Independent
Laura Bailhache: Reform UK
Adam Dance: Liberal Democrats
Marcus Fysh: Conservative and Unionist Party
Reecca Montacute: Labour Party
Serena Angela Wootton: Green Party

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